{"id":4659,"date":"2015-11-25T20:42:35","date_gmt":"2015-11-25T19:42:35","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.argia.eus\/blogak\/pello-zubiria\/?p=4659"},"modified":"2015-11-25T20:42:35","modified_gmt":"2015-11-25T19:42:35","slug":"siriako-gerraren-hurrengo-urratsak-kennedyren-aholkulariaren-aburuz","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogak.argia.eus\/pello-zubiria\/2015\/11\/25\/siriako-gerraren-hurrengo-urratsak-kennedyren-aholkulariaren-aburuz\/","title":{"rendered":"Siriako gerraren hurrengo urratsak, Kennedyren aholkulariaren aburuz"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"William<\/a>

William R. Polk BBC telebista britainiarrak elkarrizketaturik.<\/p><\/div>\n

William R. Polk<\/a> aspalditik ari da nazioarteko aferetan aholkulari, hainbat liburu plazaratzeaz gain Harvarden Ekialde Hurbilaz irakasten du eta John F. Kennedy lehendakariak bere aholkulari taldean zeukan Kubako misilen krisi larriaren garaian. Egunotan Consortiumnews<\/em><\/a> hedabide elektronikoak plazaratu dio “Falling into the ISIS Trap<\/a><\/em>” (Estatu Islamikoaren tranpan erortzen) analisia, gaztelaniaz eta katalanez La Vanguardiak<\/em><\/a> bi ataletan argitaratu duena (ordainpekoa Internetez). Tituluan aurreratzen duenez, EIren estrategek gerra asimetroko honetan nagusitzeko daukaten estrategia laburbiltzen du, Mendebaldeko herrialdeak haren xederan erortzen ari garela argudiatzeko.<\/p>\n

Pasarte batean galdetzen dio bere buruari zein aukera dauden, AEBen ikuspegitik, Siriako gerran Estatu Islamiarraren kontrako hurrengo urratsak emateko. Lehenbizikoa, Fran\u00e7ois Hollandek eta Barack Obamak Parisko sarraskien ondoren iragarri dutena, atsedenik gabeko gerra. Frantziak gogortu ditu airezko erasoak baina, agintariek orain arte zehaztu ez duten arren, ziurrenik laster ekarriko du Siria eta Irakera lurreko tropak bidaltzea.<\/p>\n

Bigarren aukera, dio William R. Polkek, da Israelek bere burua eskaintzea Siria eta Irak inbaditzeko eta airezko erasoetan laguntzeko. Honek epe laburrean kolpe handia emango lioke EIri, baina epe luzean honen estrategia sendotuko luke (islamistek planteatzen duten gerra areago justifikatuz). Gainera, Iran, Errusia eta Siriaren artean EIren kontra antolatzen ari den blokeari min handia egingo lioke. Aholkulariak uste du Israelen eskaintza hau seguruenik ez luketela AEBk ontzat emango baina asko eskertuko lioketela. Irakurleak pentsa dezake, kezkaz: Israel Siria eta Irak inbaditzen? AEBetako intelligentsian hipotesi honen inguruan aritzeak berak beldurra eragiten du.<\/p>\n

Hirugarren aukera AEBentzako litzateke Baxar el Assaden kontrako politika baztertu, 180\u00batan egin bira eta Errusia eta Iranekin bat egitea EIren kontra. Aukera hau lehenesten du ikerlariak, baina ez du uste honek ere lortuko lukeenik EIren indarra suntsitzea. [Turkiak Errusiaren hegazkin bat lurreratu osteko orduetan Barack Obamak garbi adierazi du AEBen inguruan antolatutako aliatu taldetik kanpo dagoela Errusia].<\/p>\n

Hiru hautu horietako bat martxan jartzeaz gain, William R. Polkek oso argi ikusten du AEBek bezala Europako potentziek barneko segurtasun sistemak gogortuko dituztela. Jendearen mugimendu eta lekualdatzeen kontrol zorrotzagoak, atzerritar jatorriko herritarren kanporatzea (Frantzian nagusiki), hirietako gune txiroetan sarekadak, eta abar.<\/p>\n

“Horixe da EIk lortu nahi zuena. Segurtasunaren gastuak handituko dira eta herritarrak zanpatu eta umiliatuko. Hala ere, politika horiekin ez da segurtasun erabatekorik lortuko. (…) Horregatik, zoritxarrez, iruditzen zait abiatu garela beldurrez, haserrez, ezbeharrez eta oinarrizko askatasunen galeraz betetako hamarkada bat edo gehiagoren bidean”.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

William R. Polk aspalditik ari da nazioarteko aferetan aholkulari, hainbat liburu plazaratzeaz gain Harvarden Ekialde Hurbilaz irakasten du eta John F. Kennedy lehendakariak bere aholkulari taldean zeukan Kubako misilen krisi larriaren garaian. Egunotan Consortiumnews hedabide elektronikoak plazaratu dio “Falling into the ISIS Trap” (Estatu Islamikoaren tranpan erortzen) analisia, gaztelaniaz eta katalanez La Vanguardiak bi ataletan […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":58,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[38],"tags":[115,140,320,352],"class_list":["post-4659","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-nazioartea","tag-ekialde-hurbila","tag-estatu-islamikoa","tag-siria","tag-william-r-polk"],"yoast_head":"\nSiriako gerraren hurrengo urratsak, Kennedyren aholkulariaren aburuz - Xehe<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blogak.argia.eus\/pello-zubiria\/2015\/11\/25\/siriako-gerraren-hurrengo-urratsak-kennedyren-aholkulariaren-aburuz\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Siriako gerraren hurrengo urratsak, Kennedyren aholkulariaren aburuz - Xehe\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"William R. 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